Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.001686 0.001797 0.001912 0.002040 0.002179 0.002325 0.002490
2025-01-12 0.001492 0.001644 0.001809 0.002000 0.002217 0.002455 0.002737
2025-01-19 0.001368 0.001547 0.001745 0.001983 0.002262 0.002580 0.002973
2025-01-26 0.001237 0.001426 0.001641 0.001906 0.002225 0.002598 0.003074
2025-02-02 0.001200 0.001408 0.001651 0.001957 0.002335 0.002791 0.003389
2025-02-09 0.001160 0.001383 0.001649 0.001990 0.002422 0.002956 0.003676
2025-02-16 0.001150 0.001393 0.001687 0.002072 0.002572 0.003206 0.004083
2025-02-23 0.001104 0.001354 0.001661 0.002072 0.002614 0.003316 0.004311
2025-03-02 0.001036 0.001284 0.001593 0.002011 0.002573 0.003312 0.004382
2025-03-09 0.000983 0.001230 0.001542 0.001971 0.002555 0.003337 0.004491
2025-03-16 0.000950 0.001200 0.001521 0.001967 0.002585 0.003427 0.004693
2025-03-23 0.000911 0.001162 0.001486 0.001943 0.002585 0.003474 0.004836
2025-03-30 0.000872 0.001125 0.001455 0.001928 0.002604 0.003559 0.005056
2025-04-06 0.000828 0.001078 0.001410 0.001892 0.002592 0.003599 0.005212
2025-04-13 0.000795 0.001045 0.001381 0.001876 0.002608 0.003680 0.005436
2025-04-20 0.000745 0.000987 0.001315 0.001804 0.002536 0.003625 0.005440
2025-04-27 0.000737 0.000987 0.001331 0.001852 0.002645 0.003849 0.005908
2025-05-04 0.000725 0.000981 0.001336 0.001883 0.002729 0.004040 0.006335
2025-05-11 0.000728 0.000995 0.001371 0.001960 0.002888 0.004359 0.007004
2025-05-18 0.000707 0.000975 0.001357 0.001960 0.002925 0.004481 0.007337
2025-05-25 0.000673 0.000933 0.001307 0.001903 0.002868 0.004443 0.007381
2025-06-01 0.000645 0.000900 0.001270 0.001865 0.002840 0.004452 0.007510
2025-06-08 0.000628 0.000883 0.001255 0.001861 0.002866 0.004555 0.007821